The headline inflation rate in Canada inched higher to 2.9% in July of 2026 from 2.8% in the previous month, slightly above market expectations of 2.9%, but remaining below the post-Iran-war peak of 3.2% from two months prior. Gasoline price inflation accelerated to 25.7% from 20.5% in the previous month, tracking wholesale oil and refined product markets globally as strikes between Iran and the US reignited in the period and triggered blockades on tankers in the key region. In turn, core inflation rates tracked by the Bank of Canada inched slightly higher, with the median core rate up at 2% and the trimmed-mean rate at 1.9%.

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